Stock Analysis · Genius Sports Ltd (GENI)

Stock Analysis · Genius Sports Ltd (GENI)

Overview

Genius Sports Ltd is a sports technology company that sits behind much of the data, video, and betting infrastructure used by sportsbooks, media groups, and sports leagues. In simple terms, it helps collect live sports data from games, distributes that information to betting operators and media companies, and provides technology that supports in-game betting, fan engagement, and advertising.

The business is built around long-term relationships with sports leagues and federations. These partnerships give Genius Sports the right to capture and distribute official data, which is especially valuable for live betting where speed, accuracy, and reliability matter. The company also uses that data to power digital products for broadcasters, teams, and advertisers.

Based on the company’s recent annual reporting, revenue is mainly split into three operating segments:

  • Betting Technology, Content & Services: about 76% of 2025 revenue. This is the core business and includes official sports data feeds, odds services, trading support, and technology sold to sportsbooks and betting operators.
  • Media Technology, Content & Services: about 15% of 2025 revenue. This segment includes advertising technology, fan activation tools, and digital media products that help sports organizations and brands reach audiences.
  • Sports Technology & Services: about 9% of 2025 revenue. This includes software and services for sports leagues, governing bodies, and teams, such as performance, tracking, and operational tools.

The revenue mix shows a company still heavily tied to sports betting, but with a broader platform than a pure data reseller. Over the last few years, revenue has grown strongly and gross profit has improved meaningfully, showing better scale even though bottom-line profitability remains under pressure.

The financial flow highlights an important shift: revenue has risen sharply since 2021, gross profit has moved from negative territory to clearly positive, and the main drag now comes less from the basic economics of the business and more from operating expenses, especially selling and administrative costs.

Key Figures

MetricValueSector
DateSep 12, 2026
Context
SectorCommunication Services
IndustryInternet Content & Information
Market Cap $1.80B
Beta 1.88
Value
(Cheapness)
P/E Ratio N/A18.61
FCF Yield -3.69%13.68%
EBIT / EV -5.38%4.54%
PEG N/A
Growth
(Business expansion)
Revenue Growth 64.70%5.40%
RPS Growth (5Y CAGR) 10.84%4.62%
EPS Growth (5Y CAGR) -35.89%-18.01%
Margin Growth (5Y Trend) N/A1.10%
FCF Growth (5Y CAGR) N/A5.88%
Quality
(Business durability)
ROIC (Latest) -11.85%8.38%
ROIC (5Y Median) -13.72%8.32%
Net Debt / EBIT (Latest) N/A1.99
Net Debt / EBIT (5Y Median) N/A2.94
Operating Margin (Latest) -17.35%14.89%
Operating Margin (5Y Median) -17.35%12.96%
Debt to Equity (Latest) 120.04%59.59%
Profit Margin (Latest) -22.99%8.77%
Free Cash Flow (Latest) -$66.44M
Momentum
(Price trend)
3Y Return +11.99%+46.64%
12M Return (excl. last month) -39.95%+2.16%
6M Return +31.91%+5.05%
Price vs. 200-Day MA -2.50%+2.88%
Better than sector median
Slightly worse than sector median
More than 20% worse than sector median

The stock has been highly volatile since listing, with a steep drop after 2021, a recovery phase through parts of 2024 and 2025, and renewed weakness in 2026. In the factor summary, Genius Sports looks weak on value and quality versus the broader Communication Services sector, mainly because earnings and free cash flow are still thin or negative. Growth is more mixed: recent revenue expansion is far above the sector median, but earnings trends still lag because the company has not yet converted scale into consistent profitability.

At a little above $2 billion in market value, Genius Sports is no longer a tiny early-stage name, but it is still small enough for contract wins, regulatory shifts, or margin improvement to have an outsized effect on results. The stock’s beta near 1.9 also signals that share price moves have tended to be much sharper than the broader market.

Growth

Genius Sports operates in a sector with long-term structural growth behind it. Global sports betting continues to expand as more markets regulate online wagering, while media companies and leagues increasingly want direct control over data, streaming, fan engagement, and advertising monetization. That creates demand for exactly the kind of infrastructure Genius Sports sells: official data rights, low-latency distribution, and tools that make live sports more interactive.

The company’s strategy is broadly logical for that backdrop. Rather than trying to own the end customer, it positions itself as a behind-the-scenes platform for the sports ecosystem. That can be attractive because once a league grants official rights and once a sportsbook integrates the company’s systems, switching can be difficult. The combination of exclusive data rights, technology integration, and recurring contracts can create durable relationships if execution remains solid.

Revenue growth has remained strong, with recent year-over-year expansion far above the sector median and an acceleration into the latest period. The longer-term pattern is not perfectly smooth, but it does show that demand has continued to build across the platform rather than fading after the initial post-listing period.

Cash generation has also improved. Free cash flow was deeply negative a few years ago, then moved steadily closer to break-even before turning slightly positive in the latest trailing period. That matters because it suggests the business may be approaching a stage where growth no longer requires the same level of cash burn.

A major growth catalyst remains the company’s league relationships, particularly in premium sports where official data is difficult to replicate. Public company materials have also emphasized expansion in NFL-related products, broader sportsbook demand for in-play betting, and increasing use of AI-driven and personalized advertising tools in its media segment. If those offerings deepen wallet share with existing clients, growth would not need to rely only on winning entirely new accounts.

Another favorable point is that the sports betting industry increasingly values trusted, official, real-time data. As regulators, leagues, and operators put more focus on integrity and reliability, providers with recognized rights and established infrastructure may gain importance over smaller or less connected rivals.

Risks

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Some content is AI-generated. See Disclaimer